UPDATED Aug. 3, 2024, at 4:34 PM
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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
KEY
ESTIMATE
95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE
Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.
| Dates | Samplei SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Sponsor | Result | Net result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Datesi SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Result |
Polls ending July 30, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
July 29-31 | 3,000 | RV | July 29-31 3,000RV | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 42% Kennedy 6% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +5 | |||
47% Harris 42% Trump 6% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
July 29, 2024
President: general election, Georgia, 2024AVG.
July 29-30 | LV | July 29-30 LV | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +2 | ||||
July 29-30 | 662 | RV | July 29-30 662RV | Progress Action Fund Progress Action Fund is a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party. | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +1 |
President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024AVG.
July 29-30 | 627 | RV | July 29-30 627RV | Progress Action Fund Progress Action Fund is a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party. | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +1 |
President: general election, Arizona, 2024
July 29-30 | 618 | RV | July 29-30 618RV | Progress Action Fund Progress Action Fund is a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party. | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +2 |
President: general election, 2024AVG.
July 27-30 | 1,434 | RV | July 27-30 1,434RV | The Economist | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 44% Kennedy 3% West 0% Stein 0% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +2 | ||
46% Harris 44% Trump 3% Kennedy 0% West 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
July 27-30 | 1,123 | RV | July 27-30 1,123RV | Daily Kos Daily Kos is a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party. | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 45% | 45% | Trump | Harris | +4 | ||
July 28, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
July 29 | 1,750 | LV | July 29 1,750LV | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 43% Kennedy 5% Oliver 0% Stein 0% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +2 | |||
45% Harris 43% Trump 5% Kennedy 0% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
July 26-29 | 1,035 | LV | July 26-29 1,035LV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Harris | +1 | |||
July 26-29 | 1,035 | LV | July 26-29 1,035LV | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 47% Kennedy 3% Stein 1% West 1% Oliver 0% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +1 | |||
46% Harris 47% Trump 3% Kennedy 1% Stein 1% West 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
July 24-29 | 1,000 | LV | July 24-29 1,000LV | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 46% Kennedy 10% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +1 | |||
44% Harris 46% Trump 10% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
July 24-29 | 1,000 | LV | July 24-29 1,000LV | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 51% | 51% | Trump | Trump | +3 | |||
July 23-29 | 1,000 | LV | July 23-29 1,000LV | Harris | 41% | Harris | 41% | Harris 41% Trump 42% Kennedy 8% West 1% Stein 1% Oliver 1% | 42% | Trump | Trump | +1 | |||
41% Harris 42% Trump 8% Kennedy 1% West 1% Stein 1% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
July 23-29 | 1,000 | LV | July 23-29 1,000LV | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +2 | |||
President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
July 23-29 | 400 | LV | July 23-29 400LV | The Competitiveness Coalition | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +2 |
President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024AVG.
July 23-29 | 400 | LV | July 23-29 400LV | The Competitiveness Coalition | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 45% | 45% | Trump | Harris | +3 |
President: general election, Nevada, 2024
July 23-29 | 400 | LV | July 23-29 400LV | The Competitiveness Coalition | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +1 |
President: general election, Michigan, 2024AVG.
July 23-29 | 400 | LV | July 23-29 400LV | The Competitiveness Coalition | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 45% | 45% | Trump | Even |
President: general election, Arizona, 2024
July 23-29 | 400 | LV | July 23-29 400LV | The Competitiveness Coalition | Harris | 43% | Harris | 43% | Harris 43% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +5 |
July 27, 2024
President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024AVG.
July 27-28 | 500 | RV | July 27-28 500RV | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +1 | |||
July 24-28 | 804 | RV | July 24-28 804RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 50% | 50% | Trump | Trump | +4 | ||
July 24-28 | 804 | RV | July 24-28 804RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 46% Oliver 4% Kennedy 3% Stein 1% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +2 | ||
44% Harris 46% Trump 4% Oliver 3% Kennedy 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
July 22-28 | 600 | LV | July 22-28 600LV | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 43% Kennedy 3% Stein 0% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +4 | |||
47% Harris 43% Trump 3% Kennedy 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, 2024AVG.
July 26-28 | 11,538 | RV | July 26-28 11,538RV | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +1 | |||
July 26-28 | 786 | LV | July 26-28 786LV | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 41% Kennedy 5% West 1% Stein 1% | 41% | Trump | Harris | +7 | |||
48% Harris 41% Trump 5% Kennedy 1% West 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
July 26-28 | 876 | RV | July 26-28 876RV | Reuters | Harris | 43% | Harris | 43% | Harris 43% Trump 42% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +1 | ||
July 26-28 | 2,196 | RV | July 26-28 2,196RV | Harvard University Center for American Political Studies | Harris | 43% | Harris | 43% | Harris 43% Trump 47% Kennedy 8% Stein 1% West 1% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +4 | ||
43% Harris 47% Trump 8% Kennedy 1% Stein 1% West | |||||||||||||||
July 26-28 | 2,196 | RV | July 26-28 2,196RV | Harvard University Center for American Political Studies | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 47% Kennedy 10% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +3 | ||
44% Harris 47% Trump 10% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
July 26-28 | 2,196 | RV | July 26-28 2,196RV | Harvard University Center for American Political Studies | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 52% | 52% | Trump | Trump | +4 | ||
July 26-28 | 2,919 | LV | July 26-28 2,919LV | Public Polling Project | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 45% Kennedy 6% West 1% Oliver 1% Stein 1% | 45% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
44% Harris 45% Trump 6% Kennedy 1% West 1% Oliver 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
July 26-28 | 3,097 | RV | July 26-28 3,097RV | Public Polling Project | Harris | 43% | Harris | 43% | Harris 43% Trump 44% Kennedy 6% West 1% Oliver 1% Stein 1% | 44% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
43% Harris 44% Trump 6% Kennedy 1% West 1% Oliver 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
July 26-28 | 2,919 | LV | July 26-28 2,919LV | Public Polling Project | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 46% Kennedy 6% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
46% Harris 46% Trump 6% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
July 26-28 | 3,097 | RV | July 26-28 3,097RV | Public Polling Project | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 46% Kennedy 6% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
45% Harris 46% Trump 6% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
July 26-28 | 2,919 | LV | July 26-28 2,919LV | Public Polling Project | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
July 26-28 | 3,097 | RV | July 26-28 3,097RV | Public Polling Project | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
July 26-28 | 2,919 | LV | July 26-28 2,919LV | Public Polling Project | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 51% | 51% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
July 26-28 | 3,097 | RV | July 26-28 3,097RV | Public Polling Project | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 51% | 51% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
President: general election, New Hampshire, 2024
July 26-28 | 1,000 | RV | July 26-28 1,000RV | WHDH-TV (Boston) | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 41% Kennedy 6% Stein 1% West 0% | 41% | Trump | Harris | +6 | ||
48% Harris 41% Trump 6% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% West | |||||||||||||||
July 26-28 | 1,000 | RV | July 26-28 1,000RV | WHDH-TV (Boston) | Harris | 52% | Harris | 52% | Harris 52% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Harris | +5 | ||
President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
July 24-28 | 700 | RV | July 24-28 700RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +2 | ||
July 24-28 | 700 | RV | July 24-28 700RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 45% Kennedy 6% Oliver 3% Stein 0% | 45% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
44% Harris 45% Trump 6% Kennedy 3% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
July 24-28 | 706 | RV | July 24-28 706RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +2 | ||
July 24-28 | 706 | RV | July 24-28 706RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 45% Kennedy 5% Oliver 4% Stein 0% | 45% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
44% Harris 45% Trump 5% Kennedy 4% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Nevada, 2024
July 24-28 | 454 | RV | July 24-28 454RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 45% | 45% | Trump | Harris | +2 | ||
July 24-28 | 454 | RV | July 24-28 454RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 43% | Harris | 43% | Harris 43% Trump 43% Kennedy 7% Oliver 3% Stein 1% | 43% | Trump | Even | |||
43% Harris 43% Trump 7% Kennedy 3% Oliver 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Michigan, 2024AVG.
July 24-28 | 706 | RV | July 24-28 706RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 53% | Harris | 53% | Harris 53% Trump 42% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +11 | ||
July 24-28 | 706 | RV | July 24-28 706RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 51% | Harris | 51% | Harris 51% Trump 39% Kennedy 5% Oliver 2% Stein 1% | 39% | Trump | Harris | +12 | ||
51% Harris 39% Trump 5% Kennedy 2% Oliver 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Georgia, 2024AVG.
July 24-28 | 799 | RV | July 24-28 799RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Even | |||
July 24-28 | 799 | RV | July 24-28 799RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 45% Kennedy 4% Oliver 4% Stein 0% | 45% | Trump | Even | |||
45% Harris 45% Trump 4% Kennedy 4% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Arizona, 2024
July 24-28 | 804 | RV | July 24-28 804RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +2 | ||
July 24-28 | 804 | RV | July 24-28 804RV | Bloomberg | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 44% Kennedy 5% Oliver 2% Stein 0% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +4 | ||
48% Harris 44% Trump 5% Kennedy 2% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Ohio, 2024
July 23-28 | 600 | LV | July 23-28 600LV | AARP | Harris | 42% | Harris | 42% | Harris 42% Trump 52% | 52% | Trump | Trump | +10 | ||
July 23-28 | 600 | LV | July 23-28 600LV | AARP | Harris | 39% | Harris | 39% | Harris 39% Trump 48% Kennedy 9% Oliver 1% Stein 1% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +9 | ||
39% Harris 48% Trump 9% Kennedy 1% Oliver 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
July 26, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
July 26-27 | 952 | LV | July 26-27 952LV | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 43% Kennedy 8% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +1 | |||
44% Harris 43% Trump 8% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
July 26-27 | 997 | RV | July 26-27 997RV | Harris | 43% | Harris | 43% | Harris 43% Trump 42% Kennedy 9% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +1 | |||
43% Harris 42% Trump 9% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
July 26-27 | 952 | LV | July 26-27 952LV | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +2 | |||
July 26-27 | 997 | RV | July 26-27 997RV | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Even | ||||
President: general election, California, 2024
July 25-27 | 1,904 | LV | July 25-27 1,904LV | Harris | 59% | Harris | 59% | Harris 59% Trump 35% Kennedy 5% Stein 2% De la Cruz 0% West 0% | 35% | Trump | Harris | +24 | |||
59% Harris 35% Trump 5% Kennedy 2% Stein 0% De la Cruz 0% West | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Florida, 2024
July 24-27 | 774 | LV | July 24-27 774LV | University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab | Harris | 42% | Harris | 42% | Harris 42% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +7 |
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Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah Frostenson, Nathaniel Rakich, Kaleigh Rogers and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Copy editing by Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Alex Kimball, Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan, Maya Sweedler and Curtis Yee.
